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Visa Bulletin Changes Fall 2015

Discussion in 'General discussion about executive action' started by ashnov2012, Jul 21, 2015.

  1. ARam

    ARam Guru

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    I will not believe anything IV or the Govt says. Afterall, as an organization IV dumps on the same people it claims to represent not unlike the govt. While they may have had some meetings in context with Immigration related personnel at the WH, the information coming out has been haphazard, incorrect, confusing and many times downright abusive. I have stopped taking them seriously.
     
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  2. Irm3

    Irm3 Member

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    True! IV mentioned that due to h4ead law suit administration decided to change plans and not proceed with it.
     
  3. Kamakazee

    Kamakazee Super Moderator

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    Ok, that is all I needed to know.
     
  4. gcmatters

    gcmatters Guru

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    Yes I also think that.
     
  5. gcmatters

    gcmatters Guru

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    s_gan - That's a good question s_gan but I don't know why.
     
  6. s_gan

    s_gan Super Moderator

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    Yes. My sense is that OPT extension is deeply flawed. If someone gets promoted how would you justify keeping the person onOPT?

    I think it will be struck down.
     
  7. s_gan

    s_gan Super Moderator

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    They decided not to proceed with early AOS because of H4 EAD lawsuit. They decided not to implement recapture because of DAPA lawsuit. But they have decided to proceed with unlawful presence waivers of inadmissibility inspite of these lawsuits ??
     
    Last edited: Jul 29, 2015
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  8. Senram

    Senram Member

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    Plaintiffs have reasonable chance to win the H4-EAD,DAPA and OPT extension. But H4-EAD and OPT extension government has an edge by Administrative power and financial capacity though government has weaker standing in legal authority of DHS. So it entirely depends on Judge and I do not have any prediction of the two lawsuits. Again government will appeal if they lose the case but plaintiffs may not go more than circuit court.But DAPA the plaintiffs and government has equal financial capacity. Government has administrative power but plaintiffs have good legal standing on the issue. So government is losing side on DAPA. But due to financial capacity plaintiffs lost original DACA case.

    I think legal hurdles may be the reason for dropping the AOS than the lawsuits. PD current is needed by 1991 law and AC21 to file AOS. Can the law changed by regulation? I really doubt. But DHS can give EAD for selected persons
     
  9. Mayur

    Mayur Well-Known Member

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    I spoke to a student sometime back , who is currently pursuing his masters. According to him if the 6 year OPT rule kicks in it cannot be used all at once.

    3 years of OPT period after bachelors and 3 years after masters .

    I don't know if this is true or not, can anyone throw some light on this.

    If that's really the case then opt is extended from 29 months to 36 months .Most of the students come here for their masters so that's not much of a change
     
  10. ashnov2012

    ashnov2012 New Member

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    Yes it is 3 years after bachelor's and 3 years after masters. But there are some loop holes as always, while doing your masters you can be on CPT and work. It's all stupid, I would rather increase H1 6 year limit.
     
  11. Kamakazee

    Kamakazee Super Moderator

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    Yes, but that would require Congress to pass a bill and that's not happening anytime soon. So, OPT can be increased by DHS/USCIS by bypassing Congress and that's what they are doing.
     
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  12. s_gan

    s_gan Super Moderator

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    Between 10/01/2014 and 08/01/2015 there are only 18.5K ROW(excluding China) labor approvals which roughly 2.1K per month.

    Assuming a 50:50 split it is 12K petitions for EB2 and 12K for EB3 and the demand is likely to be around 24K for each category.

    If this trend continues EB3I will advance by atleast few years and EB2I should advance by 1 year.
     
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  13. Kamakazee

    Kamakazee Super Moderator

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    I think ROW files for more EB3s than EB2s. Can we assume a 50:50 split?
     
  14. mar212011

    mar212011 Well Regarded Member

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    Do you mean September or October bulletin
     
  15. Kamakazee

    Kamakazee Super Moderator

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    He means October when the new visas get allocated. Little or no movement for EB2I in September. EB3I may move to Nov 2004.
     
  16. mar212011

    mar212011 Well Regarded Member

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    Ok so this is based on known numbers, going by the statement the bulletin will move dates aggressive in first quarter , would make it move to 2010 for EB2 ? hopefully?
     
  17. s_gan

    s_gan Super Moderator

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    Agree that ROW files more EB3s. I assumed a 50:50 split to make a conservative estimate.
     
  18. s_gan

    s_gan Super Moderator

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    October
     
  19. manixium

    manixium Super Moderator

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    So I guess next month we will know about how much the movement is - whether a lot, depending on the EO, or modest. October's filings are advertised in September, correct?
     
  20. mar212011

    mar212011 Well Regarded Member

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    yes I'm sure around september 10th some websites will go down
     

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