Discussion in 'Immigration legislation' started by Kamakazee, Dec 16, 2014.
How did u come to this conclusion?
Here is an optimistic projection, If the POTUS wants it, the Timeline could also be like:
1. Tomorrow comment period open (30 days)
2. OMB Review all comments and produce bunch or rules (30 days review)
3. Publish Propose Rules in Federal Register via regulatory process (In March)
4. After OMB approval USCIS will open for comments period (30 Days)
5. USCIS will review all comments and produce final rule (30 Days)
6. OMB will review final rule ( 30 Days )
7. After OMB approval USCIS will publish Final rule on FR with effective date ( 30 Days standard time for effective date after publish on FR)
Bingo - We have a July 2015 visa Bulletin where everyone is Current in EB Category!!
OMB doesn't write regulations. The agencies write them and OMB clears them. OMB review also generally takes considerably longer than 30 days.
If everything goes well when do you expect the dates to move ?
If all goes well, and there are no issues, early summer would be my best guess.
Looks like another version of the HR 3012 is back on:
IV is actively backing it up now.
Wonderful. Just what we need, another idiotic proposal.
Agree but this shouldn't be an issue if dependents are counted out.
Ron, A related question. Do you expect any changes to the senate judiciary committee ?
No change is gonna matter. Whacko chucko is gonna be the Chairman!
Ron, I kinda missed out on your analysis of H.R 3012. I am sure, H.R 213 is a Carbon Copy. What was bad in that bill?
Getting a bill through Congress that eliminates dependents should be relatively easy. That was a component of S744. These guys want to eliminate the per country limit in a way that will turn everything on its head. Why not solve the bigger problem instead of going for a temporary fix? All this bill would do is reorder the visa issuance process. Not one new visa would be added to the quota. It would just reshuffle the line. I think that is a bad use of political capital. An effort should be made to solve the underlying problem of not enough visas.
I would rather ask for 50% of the quota to be removed from country cap instead of 100%
I'd rather ask for dependents to be removed and solve the entire problem immediately.
Do you think this is not going to happen by a rule change?
I hope it will, but I'd rather see it (and everything else) done legislatively.
Legislation will also shield it from lawsuits.
Do you think there might be amendments to it to add recapture and dependent exclusion, or is it likely to pass as is (if it passes at all), and thus using up political capital without effectively doing anything much for EB/FB.
Any immigration bill passing the House will likely have repeal of EO riders attached to them. They are already planning on passing the DHS funding bill repealing the EOs and even DACA. Bills like these won't go anywhere other than pleasing the conservative base. Playing political football with the immigration issue helps no one, certainly not the legal immigrants who gets shanked by the President and his party too.
I think this may not be true anymore "shanked by the President and his party too"!. The EO is going to do whatever legally possible. The POTUS has been (after jacking us legals for 6 long years) extremely careful in issuing the EO. Note that so far the only EO that has been issued is expanding DACA. DACA has withstood all legal challenges so far and so POTUS is on strong legal ground with that EO. It cannot be struck down in Court and he will Veto any Bill that attempts to do that too. Now, as far as legal immigration relief, it is an acknowledged fact that the DOS and USCIS can interpret the Law and make new rules. So, POTUS is fast tracking the rule making process, which is expected in about 6 months and which will be on firm ground. The only thing that Republicans can do is try to block these moves, further alienating the new immigrant vote bank!
Given who the sponsor is, no.
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